Federal budget outlook is improving
Posted by Staff (05/08/2013 @ 11:54 am)

The economy is steadily improving, and now we’re seeing improvement with the US budget deficit.
In February, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office predicted that this year’s deficit would fall to $845 billion, down from nearly $1.1 trillion in 2012. Goldman Sachs recently predicted that the deficit would fall even further, to $775 billion, and return to sustainable levels within two years.
As a result, the national debt is rising far more slowly than in the frantic days after the 2008 economic crisis: The Treasury Department actually expects to repay a tiny sliver of the $16.8 trillion national debt by the end of June.
Much of the improvement stems from recent budget deals. Over the past two years, Congress has capped agency spending and created the sequester, which is trimming outlays on domestic programs and the military. Lawmakers also agreed to raise taxes on virtually every American this year, letting a temporary reduction in the payroll tax expire and tax rates rise for households earning more than $450,000 a year.
But other factors are at work, too. Defense spending has been declining rapidly with the end of the war in Iraq and the ongoing drawdown of forces in Afghanistan. A surprising — and apparently durable — slowdown in health-care costs has sharply reduced projected spending on Medicare and Medicaid. And the falling jobless rate and improving economy have helped push federal tax collections up 16 percent over last year, according to figures out Tuesday.
This will have interesting implications for budget talks, but also should start instilling some confidence with business leaders, which hopefully then fuels even more economic growth.
Posted in: Economy, General Business
Tags: Congressional Budget Office, defense spending, deficit, federal budget deficit, federal budget outlook, health care costs, health care savings, health care spending, sequester, Treasury Department
CBO says stimulus package boosted the US economy
Posted by Staff (11/24/2010 @ 3:53 pm)
Democrats have taken a lot of heat for the stimulus package, and public perception of the package certainly hurt Democrats in the midterm elections.
But we’re getting more evidence that the stimulus worked, as the CBO has come out with a new report about the impact of the package.
The massive U.S. stimulus package, widely panned by voters, injected life into the otherwise-sluggish economy between July and September, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Wednesday.
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act put between 1.4 million and 3.6 million to work in the third quarter of this year, a time when more than 15 million Americans were unemployed, CBO said.
It also boosted national output by between 1.4 percent and 4.1 percent during that time, the CBO said.
During the third quarter, the economy grew by an annual rate of 2.5 percent. Economists say a rate faster than 3 percent is needed to make any noticeable dent in unemployment.
Here’s even more impressive data.
The unemployment rate, currently 9.6 percent, would have been between 10.4 percent and 11.6 percent without the Recovery Act, the CBO said.
The stimulus created the equivalent of 2 million to 5.8 million jobs during the third quarter as part-time workers shifted to full-time work, or employers offered more overtime work.
The Obama administration made the fateful error of predicting that the stimulus package would prevent unemployment from going over 8%, and that hurt the public perception of the package.
It’s clear, however, that the stimulus package helped to save the US economy.