Tag: home values

Home Depot cites ‘frozen housing market conditions’

Home Depot an alarming earnings report where they cited “frozen housing market conditions.”

The video above puts this in the context of the slowdown in the US housing market. THome Depot’s CFO explained that the company is doing well as it takes market share, but that U.S. same-store sales grew only 1.3% year-over-year (roughly –2.5% after inflation). Store visits contracted. This reflects weak homebuyer demand, which hurts sales of appliances, flooring, countertops, landscaping, etc.

There’s a real risk here to the economy. Housing represents roughly 15% of U.S. GDP. Prolonged weakness could spill into broader consumer spending (already showing a notable July retail drop) and eventually pressure the wider economy/stock market, which has so far been supported by consumer spending (often on credit amid low savings).

Meanwhile, the Trump Administration seems hell bent on making things worse. Between the Iran war and the latest trade war with Canada, they seem to be clueless.

Mortgage rates keep falling

How low can home mortgage rates go? They keep falling.

The interest rate for a 30-year mortgage fell for the eighth time in nine weeks, according to a widely watched survey, with the record lows triggering the highest volume of home refinancing in 15 months.

Freddie Mac’s weekly report on lenders said solid borrowers with 20% down payments or home equity were being offered 30-year fixed-rate loans at an average of 4.42% this week, down from 4.44% a week earlier. The borrowers would have paid 0.6% of the loan amount in upfront lender fees.

The average 30-year interest rate recorded by the survey has not risen in nine weeks, although it remained flat at 4.57% for the weeks ending July 8 and July 15.

One reason is the terrible housing market. Homeowner confidence in the real estate market has dipped again.

Homeowners(i) are more pessimistic about the short-term future of home values in their local market than they have been in the past three quarters, according to the Zillow second quarter Homeowner Confidence Survey(ii). One-third (33 percent) believe home values in their local housing market have not yet reached a bottom, while 38 percent believe they have already reached a bottom.

Clearly, the foreclosure crisis has a long way to go.