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Junk bond sales are booming

Here’s an interesting twist in the new reality:

With rising fears of a prolonged recession and stomach-churning moves in the stock market, corporate bond markets have performed so well this year they look like they’re part of a parallel universe.

Banks are reluctant to lend, but large corporations with the weakest credit ratings have had little trouble finding investors happy to hand over their cash.

Companies sold $24.6 billion in junk bonds in August, the eighth-best month ever for sales, according to Thomson Reuters data. Among those feeding in the market: Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., Rite Aid Corp. and acquisitive power giant NRG Energy Inc.

So how is it that companies with bad credit find it so easy to borrow in this economy?

“A lot of that has to do with living in a world where investments pay less than 1 percent,” said Diane Vazza, head of fixed income research at rating agency Standard & Poor’s.

More and more companies are refinancing their corporate debt, getting rid of high-interest bonds in favor of a lower interest rate. In many ways this trend is a positive as companies lower their debt costs, having the exact effect that the Fed intended.

Is Lance Armstrong losing his appeal as a corporate pitchman?

Jul 25, 2010 - Paris, France - LANCE ARMSTRONG (USA/ Radioshack) on the podium as team Radioshack accepts the team competition win on the Champs d'elysee.

Lance Armstrong is one of the most beloved athletes in the United States, and his status as a champion as a cancer survivor has made him the ultimate corporate pitchman. Now, amid a growing story around doping allegations, can Armstrong stay on top? We’ve seen other athletes like LeBron James destroy their brands overnight with their own stupidity, but here events are out of Armstrong’s control.

I can’t find the link, but the magazine version of BusinessWeek recently ran a short story on how Lance Armstrong’s reputation has been taking a hit recently. Google searches using his name in combination with terms like steroids, drugs, liar, scandal, probe, etc. are growing.

The media is also starting to turn on him. In a recent blog post, Rich Karlgaard discusses the tragedy of Lance Armstrong and gives a powerful argument on why he know believes that Armstrong cheated.

Meanwhile, Armstrong has hired a criminal defense lawyer. That can’t be a good sign.

UPDATE: The New York Times just published a long piece on this subject. One thing I learned there involved the amount of money our U.S. Postal Service paid Armstrong to sponsor his team. Do we really need this government agency sponsoring cycling teams?

Mortgage rates keep falling

How low can home mortgage rates go? They keep falling.

The interest rate for a 30-year mortgage fell for the eighth time in nine weeks, according to a widely watched survey, with the record lows triggering the highest volume of home refinancing in 15 months.

Freddie Mac’s weekly report on lenders said solid borrowers with 20% down payments or home equity were being offered 30-year fixed-rate loans at an average of 4.42% this week, down from 4.44% a week earlier. The borrowers would have paid 0.6% of the loan amount in upfront lender fees.

The average 30-year interest rate recorded by the survey has not risen in nine weeks, although it remained flat at 4.57% for the weeks ending July 8 and July 15.

One reason is the terrible housing market. Homeowner confidence in the real estate market has dipped again.

Homeowners(i) are more pessimistic about the short-term future of home values in their local market than they have been in the past three quarters, according to the Zillow second quarter Homeowner Confidence Survey(ii). One-third (33 percent) believe home values in their local housing market have not yet reached a bottom, while 38 percent believe they have already reached a bottom.

Clearly, the foreclosure crisis has a long way to go.

The battle regarding Elizabeth Warren

WASHINGTON - DECEMBER 10:  Panel Chair Elizabeth Warren arrives prior to a hearing before the Congressional Oversight panel, which was created to oversee the expenditure of Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), December 10, 2009 on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. The hearing was to evaluate whether the TARP helping to improve the nation�s financial situation.  (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Elizabeth Warren has been a hot topic on both Capital Hill and Wall Street, as many are waiting to see whether she will be appointed as the head of the new Consumer Protection Agency.

The New York Times has written an editorial supporting her nomination. Meanwhile, more Democratic Senators are lining up to support her. Meanwhile, Warren is reaching out to some Republicans and lobbyists.

Chris Dodd has expressed concern over whether she can be confirmed, but many liberals argue that a fight with Wall Street supporters would help the administration heading into the midterm elections and would help fire up the liberal base.

We think this is a no-brainer for Obama – appoint her already!

The President’s economic team

Larry Summers (R), an economic advisor to U.S. President Barack Obama, and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner attend the announcement of the President's Economic Recovery Advisory Board in the East Room of the White House in Washington, in this February 6, 2009 file photo. Blunt, brash, brainy and occasionally self-mocking. Larry Summers, the White House economic adviser, is all of these things. In a career spanning academia, government and finance, he has rubbed some people the wrong way and infuriated others. To match SPECIAL REPORT - SUMMERS   REUTERS/Jim Young/Files  (UNITED STATES - Tags: POLITICS BUSINESS HEADSHOT)

Here’s an excellent article on how the White House economic team is organized. When you read about the President’s economic advisers, this article can help you understand how they all work together. It can also help you understand how different personalities work together, from Christina Romer to Larry Summers to Tim Geithner.

Thanks to Ezra Klein for the link. Ezra also has a great post on how Larry Summers might now be the ideal candidate to run the National Economic Council, given the nature of his personality.

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